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Feasibility Studies


Feasibility Studies
Our studies include all facets of project development, technical, market and financial risk.

Wert-Berater strives to provide our clients with the best information available so they can make an informed decision on going forward with a project. One service that we highly recommended at the initiation of a project is a feasibility study.

Our feasibility studies are among the most comprehensive available and are available for a wide range of industries:


Wert-Berater, Inc. is a specialist in providing Environmental Feasibility Studies and Feasibility Studies for USDA Loan Guarantee Programs.

Feasibility studies can be as simple such as for real estate and other land development related projects as determining the nearest utility connections to providing current information on zoning, utilities, topography, drainage, cost estimating, site layout, etc.

In addition, schedules can be provided indicating an estimate on the length of time a project should take to be entitled. Our experience has given us the reputation that we provide sound information, realistic schedules and unique/cost effective design solutions.

The most sophisticated computer modeling programs such as SITEOPS®, Decision Tree Analysis and Monte Carlo Simulations are applied to estimate probability of risk and return. For more information concerning SITEOPS® click here.



Land Development Feasibility Studies

This land development feasibility study is often combined with our market and analytical feasibility study to provide the most comprehensive study available for a planned vertical development project. For more information about our market and analytical studies contact us by calling 888.661.4449.




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Monte Carlo Simulations for Real Estate Valuations
HEC, University of Geneva, FAME and University of Aberdeen

The following paper is provided in PDF form and may be downloaded here.



Abstract

We use the Adjusted Present Value (APV) method with Monte Carlo simulations for real
estate valuation purposes. Monte Carlo simulations make it possible to incorporate the
uncertainty of valuation parameters, in particular of future cash flows, of discount rates and of
terminal values. We use empirical data to extract information about the probability
distributions of the various parameters and suggest a simple model to compute the discount
rate. We forecast the term structure of interest rates using a Cox et al. (1985) model, and then
add a premium that is related to both the real estate market and selected property-specific
characteristics. Our empirical results suggest that the central values of our simulations are in
most cases slightly less than the hedonic values. The confidence intervals are found to be
most sensitive to the long-term equilibrium interest rate being used and to the expected
growth rate of the terminal value.

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